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Wednesday, December 26, 2012


by Georgevine Moss

Learned some basics about basketball player evaluation methods recently and so ended up playing around with some stats...

First, I made up my own equations, one that evaluates a player based on points (pts evaluation) and one that evaluates the player based on other factors (game evaluation). And, finally, adding these two equations made up the complete evaluation (total evaluation).

Then I picked two teams: the LA LAKERS and the NY KNICKS. Why these two teams? Well, there is a very scientific and logical explanation for that...I saw some pictures of famous people on the court rooting for the KNICKS recently and that reminded me of some other person really liking the LAKERS. Follow the links if you're dying to know who they are. Also, there seems to be this debate, orange too bright?

The following step was to gather some stats for the players of these two teams. I found statistics (box scores) from 2010 and used those to do the evaluation. Now, since it is overall accepted that NBA players' paycheck is mainly based on how good a scorer the player is, I also tracked down some info about players' salaries from 2010 and 2012.

What did I come up with? Read on.

For 2010, the NY KNICKS was a worse team that the LA LAKERS.

Adding the performance of 20 players yielded a score of 2.52 for the KNICKS, while adding the performance of 16 players yielded a score of 2.92 for the LAKERS.

This was confirmed by looking at the 1/1/2010 - 4/14/2010 period results.

•1051 wins and 1826 losses for the NY KNICKS, a WIN/LOSS RATIO of 0.58
•2161 wins and 747 losses for the LA LAKERS, a WIN/LOSS RATIO of 2.89

So all of you who read this and actually follow these teams so far are thinking...duh! But hopefully the following unbiased and based solely on statistics info might offer something you've never thought about before...Here it goes.

For 2010:

•Best player for the LA LAKERS was Trey Johnson with a total evaluation score of 0.50 (he played for only one game, but the equations actually try to take into account both games and minutes played so this number should still be valid. So, based on this one game and the whole 13 minutes played he was the most efficient player. Agree, disagree?)

•Best player for the NY KNICKS was Raymond Felton with a total evaluation score of 0.26 (he played for 54 games and 2074 minutes, which was the 3rd position in terms of time played after Amare Stoudemire who played 2870 min (eval. score of 0.16) and Landry Fields who played 2541 min (eval. score of 0.14) Any objections?

For the NY KNICKS:

•Based on his total evaluation score (0.26), Raymond Felton with a 2012 salary of $3,480,453 is underpaid compared to both Amare Stoudemire (eval. score: 0.16, 2010 salary: $16,486,611, 2012: $19,948,799) and Carmelo Anthony (eval. score: 0.17, 2010 salary: $17,149,243, 2012: $19,444,503)

For the LA LAKERS:

•Based on his total evaluation score (0.18), Kobe Bryant with a 2010 salary of $ 24,806,250 and a 2012 salary of $27,849,149 is overpaid compared to both Pau Gasol (eval. scor: 0.21, 2010 salary: $ 17,823,000,2012: $19,000,000) and Andrew Bynum (eval. scor: 0.21, 2010 salary: $13,700,000).

2012-2013 STRATEGY

•For 2012-2013, based on the salaries list I found the NY KNICKS team has these 3 players who also played in 2010 (and therefore I have stats for): Raymond Felton (0.26), Carmelo Anthony (0.17), Amare Stoudemire (0.16).

In 2010, Raymond Felton played in 54 games for a total of 2074 minutes, while Carmelo Anthony played in 27 games and 977 min and Amare Stoudemire played in 78 games and 2870 minutes. Based on their evaluation scores Carmelo Anthony (points eval: 0.03, game eval: 0.14) should be playing more than Amare Stoodemire (points eval: 0.01, game eval: 0.15) especially for when points are needed. And Raymond Felton (points eval: 0.01, game eval: 0.25) should be playing more, as in all the games.

These 3 players make a combined total evaluation score of 0.59.

•For 2012-2013, based on the salaries list I found the LA LAKERS team has these 4 players who also played in 2010 (and therefore I have stats for): Kobe Bryant (0.18), Pau Gasol (0.21), Steve Blake (0.14), Devin Ebanks (0.15).

Devin Ebanks played in 20 games and 118 minutes total in 2010. Based on my performance equations his points evaluation was 0.03 and his game evaluation 0.12, while Steve Blake played in 79 games and 1581 minutes total and his points evaluation was 0.00 and his game evaluation 0.13. Based on their eval. scores Devin Ebanks should be playing more.

Kobe Bryant and Pau Gasol both played in 82 games with Pau Gasol playing for more minutes. Based on their respective evaluation scores, things should be kept as is.

These 4 players make a combined total evaluation score of 0.68.

Here are 2 tables with all the players' stats:

Do you want to know the equations behind the evaluation scores? Do they appear to be any good? Please, chime in the comments.

Also, if you liked this blog post you might enjoy this:

The Pot Calling the Kettle Black, Are NBA Statistical Models More Irrational than "Irrational" Decision-Makers? by David Lewin and Dan T. Rosenbaum, Sept 2007










SUPER IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: All this is just for fun. Of course you can't evaluate teams like that.

Friday, December 14, 2012



In this genre-bending debut the supernatural world of Dark Heavens is forever connected with human life in Urban Falls through the Sisters, a group of Dark beings in charge of human emotions.

When a Sister abuses her power, the balance of human emotions is disturbed and action must be taken to prevent the human world from falling into chaos. The Sisters must be stripped of their powers and be replaced. But there are rules to be followed. The Sisters ask for time to restore the balance and time is granted to them. So begins the hunt for the person that can help the Sisters remain in power, and for all beings that want to see the Sisters gone, the race against time to prevent them from succeeding.

In these turbulent times, Sandrelle Anders (@sandrelle) has to take her own difficult journey through both worlds to discover who she is and what it means to be human.

Dementia is her story.


WORD COUNT/A4 PAGES: 83.600 / 220

Dementia: Medicine a chronic or persistent disorder of the mental processes caused by brain disease or injury and marked by memory disorders, personality changes, and impaired reasoning.

ORIGIN late 18th cent.: from Latin, from demens, dement- 'out of one's mind'.

--Oxford Dictionary of English, Second Edition


Screams echoed down the halls of the Home after midnight. Then, in the wee hours of the morning, silence took over, save for the howling of the wind pounding on the tall laminated windows.

The Home, Urban Falls' oldest institution of the insane, stood hidden amidst a thick forest up on a hill and it had been Sandrelle’s living quarters since she could remember. Her room, located on the upper floor of the castle-like building, was void of any personality. There was a bed and a rocking chair, a bay window and a door that was mostly locked--from the outside--and nothing else.

That morning, a crow squawked so loud that the vines creeping high along the building quivered. The bird crushed full force on Sandrelle’s window, and the earth shook for a few long moments.

Sandrelle sat up on her bed and steadied her head against the wall. She lay like that for hours, until, without reason or cause, she slid down the bed and crawled to the rocking chair, dragging one of the sheets along with her.

She had just gotten in synch with the swinging pine trees outside, rocking in her chair, when she heard the heavy door grinding open behind her. A gust of air blasted her shoulders. She had been fed and medicated. What did they want now?
Dr. Fonder appeared in the doorway. A tall, lean man with hair as white as his doctor's coat. "Hello, Sandrelle," he said, stopping by her side. "How are you feeling today?"



"Nothing’s changed, why should I?"

He scribbled on his chart. "No, nothing has changed," he said. "What is bothering you today then?"

Sandrelle didn’t move or speak.

He squatted down next to her and rested his hand on her knee. "Maybe I can help," he said. "I can’t help you if you don’t tell me what’s bothering you."

Sandrelle grabbed his wrist and pulled him closer to her. She kept looking at him in silence, until her face began twitching. "You. This room. This bed and that damn door bother me." Her voice built up, her eyes brightened with tears and a flush of heat reddened her face. "But you know what’s really annoying?"

He stared, trying to read her face. "What is it?"

"Your voice."

Dr. Fonder managed an awkward smile. "My voice? Well, I’ll see what I can do about that, but I’m afraid I can’t make any promises."

Sandrelle's eyes drifted away.

Dr. Fonder looked down. His hand had turned white. He tried to loosen her grip.
"Please, Sandrelle, I understand you’re upset but you need to relax," he said.

She squeezed even tighter. "Just tell me," she said, focusing back on him. "It’s the only thing I’ve ever asked. Twenty years now, I can’t remember. What are you waiting for?"

"You’re right," he said, peeling her fingers off his hand one by one. "But you have to promise me, if I tell you, you’ll stop this stubbornness and start taking your walks again."

"I’ll rest in peace."

Dr. Fonder stood up and turned to leave. Sandrelle jumped off the chair and grabbed his coat, pulling with all her weight. "Please, I promise," she said. "I promise. Just tell me."

"Your mother brought you. You were three. You needed care. There’s nothing more to it," he said, standing unhooked from her grasp and at a safe distance.

"Care? But there’s nothing wrong."


"Tell me, why are you not telling me?"

"Why don’t you think about that, and maybe we can talk about it next time," he said and clicked shut the door behind him.

Sandrelle was alone again. She normally liked the silence. But not when she could feel the buzzing in her head. Things just happened then. She paced from door to window, back and forth with increasing speed. Soon, the pacing turned into running, and Sandrelle threw herself with all her strength on the hard metal.

The common room was only a few feet away from Sandrelle’s door. At this hour it was full of patients; some of them stood by the windows staring out in silence, but others talked incessantly trying to anger the calmed ones. It was their voices that dampened every other sound in proximity.

Nurse Kensington had just entered the common room with Dr. Fonder when she caught a glimpse of Sandrelle’s head slamming against the small window on her door. She walked closer and stood outside Sandrelle’s room, peering through the window.

Dr. Fonder broke free of the patients that had managed to surround him and approached her. "Nurse Kensington, is anything wrong?" he said.

"I think she’s having another episode, doctor. Maybe you should have a look," she said, stepping away from the window. There was another thump as Sandrelle hit herself even harder against the door.

"Should I call the men?" Nurse Kensington said.

"No, no need." He paused and let his gaze wander past the nurse. "Yes. I think she’ll be fine for today," he said and turned back looking at her. "Andrew is peeing at the TV again, why don’t you go help him?"

Sandrelle stood in the middle of the room, pressing her palms hard against her ears. The whisperings were too fast, the woman talked too fast. It was almost like singing...

"Receive the glory of life, the glory of death. Child, rise, say farewell," she said.

Hearing those words over and over was like having a bee feeding off her brain. She screamed and cried, and banged at the window with her fists as if it was someone’s front door, and if she hit it long and hard enough, someone would open it. But nothing happened. Then her knees failed her, so she lay down and cried herself to sleep.


You can read a longer sample and buy the novel at Amazon:

Amazon US, Amazon UK, Amazon DE, Amazon FR, Amazon ES, Amazon IT, Amazon JAPAN, Amazon CANADA, and Amazon BRAZIL.

Also available at KOBO.

If you'd like a review e-copy of Dementia just send an e-mail at onewomanmedia {at} stating the file format of your choice (.mobi, EPUB, .PFD). A review would be appreciated, but one is not necessary. Thanks.